AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS STORMS INCREASE IN COVERAGE
ACROSS CNTRL NM AND MOVE GRADUALLY EWD. A WW CAN NOT BE RULED OUT
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION.
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INITIATED ALONG THE ERN FOOTHILLS OF THE SANDIA
MOUNTAINS ON THE FAR WRN EDGE OF A CORRIDOR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
WHERE SBCAPE VALUES ARE BETWEEN 1000 AND 1500 J/KG. THIS COMBINED
WITH ABOUT 30 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR MAY BE ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED
THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RUC ANALYSIS
SUGGEST A VORTICITY MAX AND SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS MOVING NNEWD
ACROSS ECNTRL NM SUGGESTING THE STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IN ADDITION...OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS ACROSS ERN
NM SHOW VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT A
THREAT FOR HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS. AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO DEVELOP AS STORMS MATURE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.
..BROYLES.. 04/14/2010
