All original images (C) Steve Douglass unless otherwise noted.

All original images (C) Steve Douglass unless otherwise noted. Permission required for commercial use or publishing.

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Saturday, June 12, 2010

Tornado risk today!


...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FROM THE
TX PANHANDLE/SW KS TO THE MID MS VALLEY...

...TX PANHANDLE INTO SW KS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
A BROAD CLOSED LOW HAS FORMED OVER THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...WITH
A BELT OF 30-50 KT SSWLY MIDLEVEL FLOW EXTENDING OVER THE
SRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TO THE E OF THE LOW. AT THE SURFACE...A
COLD FRONT IS MOVING SWD ACROSS SE CO AND WRN/CENTRAL KS...AIDED BY
OUTFLOW FROM THE OVERNIGHT MCS IN NEB. THE SWD MOVEMENT OF THE
FRONT/OUTFLOW IS EXPECTED TO SLOW BY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NRN TX
PANHANDLE INTO SW KS IN THE MERIDIONAL FLOW REGIME...AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE
FRONT. A NARROW CORRIDOR OF SUFFICIENT DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY FOR SUPERCELLS IS EXPECTED WHERE THE ERN FRINGE OF THE
STRONGER MID-UPPER FLOW OVERLAPS THE SURFACE FRONT AND THE NW EDGE
OF THE UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR /MLCAPE VALUES 2000-3500 J PER KG/.

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