All original images (C) Steve Douglass unless otherwise noted.

All original images (C) Steve Douglass unless otherwise noted. Permission required for commercial use or publishing.

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Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Today's Severe Forecast

.WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS...
MORNING WV IMAGERY SHOWS FRAGMENTED UPPER WAVES MOVING SEWD FROM THE
WY/NEB BORDER SEWD INTO NRN OK. HOWEVER...ONGOING CONVECTION OVER
NRN KS AND MODEL FORECAST SUGGEST SYSTEM NEAR THE WY/NEB BORDER
SHOULD BE THE MAIN FEATURE FOR CONVECTION ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SRN
PLAINS. SUNNY CONDITIONS AND WARMING/DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER
THIS MORNING WAS OCCURRING OVER SERN CO/SWRN KS/NWRN OK AND THE TX
PANHANDLE. ACROSS THIS AREA...THE BEST OVERLAP OF LOW LEVEL FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE...WARMING AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER WAVE WOULD BE
OVER SWRN KS/NWRN OK AND TX PANHANDLE. OTHER STORMS ARE LIKELY TO
DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SERN CO/NERN NM WHERE STRONG
HEATING OF MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL OCCUR. AFTER STORMS
FORM...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND 30-40 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD
SUSTAIN MULTICELLS AND POSSIBLY A SUPERCELL OR TWO. THE MAIN THREAT
WILL BE HAIL...THOUGH THE WIND THREAT WILL BE HIGHER THIS EVENING AS
STORMS CONSOLIDATE INTO ONE OR TWO LINEAR CLUSTERS.


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